outlier-return 108 days

Days with returns > 2σ from regime average

All patterns
asia-dominated bear bull chop compression europe-dominated extreme-flow flow-divergence flow-reversal flow-streak high-volatility net-buying net-selling outlier-return regime-end regime-start us-dominated volume-spike whale-activity
2026-03-04 CHOP 6.33% On Wednesday, March 04, 2026, Bitcoin ripped +6.3% to the upside to $72,667. Net flow: +2,364 BTC — buyers had the edge. 2026-02-06 BEAR 12.19% On Friday, February 06, 2026, Bitcoin exploded +12.2% higher to $70,580. Net flow: +6,416 BTC — buyers had the edge. 2026-02-05 BEAR -14.02% On Thursday, February 05, 2026, Bitcoin plunged -14.0% to $62,910. Net flow: -8,214 BTC — sellers had the edge. 2026-01-29 CHOP -5.21% January 29, 2026: Bitcoin plunged -5.2%. The 5,660 BTC of net selling flow at $84,650 told a clear story — sellers were 2025-10-10 BULL -7.31% October 10, 2025: Bitcoin dropped 7.3% in a sharp selloff. The 3,168 BTC of net selling flow at $112,774 told a clear st 2025-05-08 BULL 6.42% On Thursday, May 08, 2025, Bitcoin exploded +6.4% higher to $103,262. Net flow: +2,132 BTC — buyers had the edge. 2025-04-22 CHOP 6.77% Bitcoin surged +6.8% on Tuesday, April 22, 2025, closing at $93,443 as buyers controlled aggregate flow with 1,683 BTC o 2025-04-11 CHOP 4.79% On Friday, April 11, 2025, Bitcoin rallied +4.8% to $83,424. Net flow: +1,604 BTC — buyers had the edge. 2025-04-09 CHOP 8.25% On Wednesday, April 09, 2025, Bitcoin exploded +8.2% higher to $82,615. Net flow: +3,495 BTC — buyers had the edge. 2025-04-06 CHOP -6.11% April 06, 2025: Bitcoin crashed -6.1%. The 2,955 BTC of net selling flow at $78,430 told a clear story — sellers were in 2025-03-19 CHOP 4.99% March 19, 2025: Bitcoin pushed +5.0% higher. The 543 BTC of net selling flow at $86,846 told a clear story — sellers wer 2025-03-03 BEAR -8.54% Bitcoin closed at $86,221 on March 03, 2025 after dropped 8.5% in a sharp selloff. Aggressor-side flow netted -3,340 BTC 2025-03-02 BEAR 9.53% On Sunday, March 02, 2025, Bitcoin surged +9.5% to $94,270. Net flow: +3,659 BTC — buyers had the edge. 2025-01-07 CHOP -5.17% January 07, 2025: Bitcoin dropped 5.2% in a sharp selloff. The 2,430 BTC of net selling flow at $96,955 told a clear sto 2024-12-18 BULL -5.59% Bitcoin closed at $100,204 on December 18, 2024 after crashed 5.6%. Aggressor-side flow netted -3,691 BTC, favoring sell 2024-11-11 BULL 10.30% On Monday, November 11, 2024, Bitcoin ripped +10.3% to the upside to $88,648. Net flow: +3,351 BTC — buyers had the edge 2024-11-06 BULL 8.94% November 06, 2024: Bitcoin ripped +8.9% to the upside. The 2,361 BTC of net buying flow at $75,572 told a clear story — 2024-08-08 BULL 11.88% Bitcoin closed at $61,686 on August 08, 2024 after ripped 11.9% to the upside. Aggressor-side flow netted +3,003 BTC, fa 2024-08-05 BULL -7.12% On Monday, August 05, 2024, Bitcoin crashed -7.1% to $54,019. Net flow: -7,339 BTC — sellers had the edge. 2024-08-02 BULL -5.90% Bitcoin crashed -5.9% on Friday, August 02, 2024, closing at $61,498 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 2,416 BTC 2024-07-15 CHOP 6.46% On Monday, July 15, 2024, Bitcoin surged +6.5% to $64,724. Net flow: -538 BTC — sellers had the edge. 2024-05-20 BULL 7.80% Bitcoin ripped +7.8% to the upside on Monday, May 20, 2024, closing at $71,447 as buyers controlled aggregate flow with 2024-05-15 CHOP 7.52% On Wednesday, May 15, 2024, Bitcoin exploded +7.5% higher to $66,206. Net flow: +36 BTC — buyers had the edge. 2024-04-02 CHOP -6.01% On Tuesday, April 02, 2024, Bitcoin dropped 6.0% in a sharp selloff to $65,464. Net flow: -759 BTC — sellers had the edg 2024-03-20 BULL 9.53% March 20, 2024: Bitcoin surged +9.5%. The 627 BTC of net buying flow at $67,841 told a clear story — buyers were in char 2024-03-19 BULL -8.39% March 19, 2024: Bitcoin crashed -8.4%. The 4,595 BTC of net selling flow at $61,937 told a clear story — sellers were in 2024-03-16 BULL -6.04% Bitcoin closed at $65,301 on March 16, 2024 after dropped 6.0% in a sharp selloff. Aggressor-side flow netted -1,447 BTC 2024-03-05 BULL -6.63% On Tuesday, March 05, 2024, Bitcoin crashed -6.6% to $63,724. Net flow: -713 BTC — sellers had the edge. 2024-03-04 BULL 8.13% Bitcoin surged +8.1% on Monday, March 04, 2024, closing at $68,246 as buyers controlled aggregate flow with 5,803 BTC of 2024-02-28 BULL 9.46% Bitcoin ripped +9.5% to the upside on Wednesday, February 28, 2024, closing at $62,432 as buyers controlled aggregate fl 2024-01-22 CHOP -4.84% Bitcoin closed at $39,568 on January 22, 2024 after fell 4.8%. Aggressor-side flow netted -1,850 BTC, favoring sellers. 2024-01-12 BULL -7.67% Bitcoin dropped 7.7% in a sharp selloff on Friday, January 12, 2024, closing at $42,783 as sellers controlled aggregate 2024-01-08 BULL 6.88% January 08, 2024: Bitcoin surged +6.9%. The 4,643 BTC of net buying flow at $46,951 told a clear story — buyers were in 2023-12-11 BULL -5.79% December 11, 2023: Bitcoin dropped 5.8% in a sharp selloff. The 3,665 BTC of net selling flow at $41,253 told a clear st 2023-11-15 BULL 6.49% November 15, 2023: Bitcoin ripped +6.5% to the upside. The 2,715 BTC of net buying flow at $37,858 told a clear story — 2023-10-23 BULL 10.26% October 23, 2023: Bitcoin ripped +10.3% to the upside. The 2,165 BTC of net buying flow at $33,070 told a clear story — 2023-10-16 CHOP 4.96% Bitcoin closed at $28,501 on October 16, 2023 after climbed 5.0%. Aggressor-side flow netted +3,077 BTC, favoring buyers 2023-06-21 BULL 5.96% Bitcoin exploded +6.0% higher on Wednesday, June 21, 2023, closing at $29,994 as buyers controlled aggregate flow with 2 2023-06-20 CHOP 5.45% Bitcoin closed at $28,308 on June 20, 2023 after surged 5.5%. Aggressor-side flow netted +438 BTC, favoring buyers. 2023-04-19 CHOP -5.21% April 19, 2023: Bitcoin crashed -5.2%. The 3,640 BTC of net selling flow at $28,797 told a clear story — sellers were in 2023-03-17 BEAR 9.59% March 17, 2023: Bitcoin surged +9.6%. The 11,585 BTC of net buying flow at $27,395 told a clear story — buyers were in c 2023-03-13 BEAR 9.62% Bitcoin closed at $24,113 on March 13, 2023 after exploded 9.6% higher. Aggressor-side flow netted +5,487 BTC, favoring 2023-03-12 BEAR 7.54% Bitcoin ripped +7.5% to the upside on Sunday, March 12, 2023, closing at $21,997 as buyers controlled aggregate flow wit 2023-03-03 CHOP -4.73% On Friday, March 03, 2023, Bitcoin lost 4.7% to $22,354. Net flow: -6,300 BTC — sellers had the edge. 2023-02-15 BULL 9.57% Bitcoin closed at $24,324 on February 15, 2023 after ripped 9.6% to the upside. Aggressor-side flow netted +5,927 BTC, f 2023-01-20 BULL 7.57% On Friday, January 20, 2023, Bitcoin ripped +7.6% to the upside to $22,667. Net flow: +2,321 BTC — buyers had the edge. 2023-01-12 CHOP 5.03% On Thursday, January 12, 2023, Bitcoin surged +5.0% to $18,847. Net flow: +22 BTC — buyers had the edge. 2022-11-10 BEAR 10.54% On Thursday, November 10, 2022, Bitcoin surged +10.5% to $17,601. Net flow: -2,651 BTC — sellers had the edge. 2022-11-09 BEAR -14.14% Bitcoin closed at $15,923 on November 09, 2022 after dropped 14.1% in a sharp selloff. Aggressor-side flow netted -14,52 2022-11-08 CHOP -9.92% On Tuesday, November 08, 2022, Bitcoin dropped 9.9% in a sharp selloff to $18,547. Net flow: -11,154 BTC — sellers had t 2022-09-13 BEAR -9.92% On Tuesday, September 13, 2022, Bitcoin plunged -9.9% to $20,174. Net flow: +2,374 BTC — buyers had the edge. 2022-09-09 BEAR 10.56% On Friday, September 09, 2022, Bitcoin surged +10.6% to $21,360. Net flow: +7,039 BTC — buyers had the edge. 2022-08-19 BULL -10.16% August 19, 2022: Bitcoin dropped 10.2% in a sharp selloff. The 4,792 BTC of net selling flow at $20,834 told a clear sto 2022-07-27 BULL 7.99% On Wednesday, July 27, 2022, Bitcoin surged +8.0% to $22,952. Net flow: +2,067 BTC — buyers had the edge. 2022-07-25 BULL -5.61% July 25, 2022: Bitcoin plunged -5.6%. The 4,301 BTC of net selling flow at $21,311 told a clear story — sellers were in 2022-07-18 BULL 7.85% July 18, 2022: Bitcoin ripped +7.9% to the upside. The 4,854 BTC of net buying flow at $22,433 told a clear story — buye 2022-06-19 BEAR 8.45% On Sunday, June 19, 2022, Bitcoin surged +8.5% to $20,574. Net flow: +3,423 BTC — buyers had the edge. 2022-06-16 BEAR -9.66% Bitcoin closed at $20,401 on June 16, 2022 after crashed 9.7%. Aggressor-side flow netted -3,576 BTC, favoring sellers. 2022-06-13 BEAR -15.38% On Monday, June 13, 2022, Bitcoin crashed -15.4% to $22,487. Net flow: -11,814 BTC — sellers had the edge. 2022-06-12 CHOP -6.51% Bitcoin plunged -6.5% on Sunday, June 12, 2022, closing at $26,575 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 5,397 BTC o 2022-05-30 BEAR 7.69% May 30, 2022: Bitcoin exploded +7.7% higher. The 6,737 BTC of net selling flow at $31,734 told a clear story — sellers w 2022-05-09 BEAR -11.64% Bitcoin closed at $30,076 on May 09, 2022 after crashed 11.6%. Aggressor-side flow netted -18,799 BTC, favoring sellers. 2022-05-05 BEAR -7.90% Bitcoin dropped 7.9% in a sharp selloff on Thursday, May 05, 2022, closing at $36,553 as sellers controlled aggregate fl 2022-04-11 CHOP -6.23% On Monday, April 11, 2022, Bitcoin plunged -6.2% to $39,530. Net flow: -2,474 BTC — sellers had the edge. 2022-03-14 CHOP 5.01% Bitcoin closed at $39,671 on March 14, 2022 after exploded 5.0% higher. Aggressor-side flow netted +1,348 BTC, favoring 2022-03-10 BULL -6.01% Bitcoin closed at $39,422 on March 10, 2022 after plunged 6.0%. Aggressor-side flow netted -4,354 BTC, favoring sellers. 2022-03-09 BULL 8.29% Bitcoin ripped +8.3% to the upside on Wednesday, March 09, 2022, closing at $41,942 as buyers controlled aggregate flow 2022-03-04 BULL -7.79% Bitcoin crashed -7.8% on Friday, March 04, 2022, closing at $39,149 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 3,319 BTC 2022-02-28 BULL 14.49% February 28, 2022: Bitcoin ripped +14.5% to the upside. The 3,142 BTC of net buying flow at $43,160 told a clear story — 2022-02-17 CHOP -7.65% February 17, 2022: Bitcoin plunged -7.7%. The 4,309 BTC of net selling flow at $40,516 told a clear story — sellers were 2022-02-04 CHOP 11.42% February 04, 2022: Bitcoin ripped +11.4% to the upside. The 1,403 BTC of net buying flow at $41,574 told a clear story — 2022-01-21 BEAR -10.41% On Friday, January 21, 2022, Bitcoin crashed -10.4% to $36,445. Net flow: -5,631 BTC — sellers had the edge. 2021-12-04 BEAR -8.30% Bitcoin dropped 8.3% in a sharp selloff on Saturday, December 04, 2021, closing at $49,152 as sellers controlled aggrega 2021-11-26 BEAR -8.88% November 26, 2021: Bitcoin plunged -8.9%. The 3,353 BTC of net selling flow at $53,727 told a clear story — sellers were 2021-11-16 CHOP -5.58% On Tuesday, November 16, 2021, Bitcoin crashed -5.6% to $60,059. Net flow: -4,705 BTC — sellers had the edge. 2021-11-08 BULL 6.72% On Monday, November 08, 2021, Bitcoin surged +6.7% to $67,526. Net flow: +3,316 BTC — buyers had the edge. 2021-10-21 BULL -5.77% Bitcoin closed at $62,193 on October 21, 2021 after crashed 5.8%. Aggressor-side flow netted -4,522 BTC, favoring seller 2021-10-15 BULL 7.54% October 15, 2021: Bitcoin ripped +7.5% to the upside. The 5,314 BTC of net buying flow at $61,672 told a clear story — b 2021-10-06 CHOP 7.47% On Wednesday, October 06, 2021, Bitcoin surged +7.5% to $55,315. Net flow: +1,451 BTC — buyers had the edge. 2021-10-01 BEAR 9.86% Bitcoin closed at $48,142 on October 01, 2021 after ripped 9.9% to the upside. Aggressor-side flow netted +2,069 BTC, fa 2021-09-20 BEAR -8.95% Bitcoin crashed -8.9% on Monday, September 20, 2021, closing at $43,016 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 5,787 2021-09-14 CHOP 4.83% Bitcoin closed at $47,112 on September 14, 2021 after rallied 4.8%. Aggressor-side flow netted -491 BTC, favoring seller 2021-09-07 CHOP -11.02% On Tuesday, September 07, 2021, Bitcoin crashed -11.0% to $46,864. Net flow: -7,178 BTC — sellers had the edge. 2021-08-13 BULL 7.66% Bitcoin closed at $47,800 on August 13, 2021 after exploded 7.7% higher. Aggressor-side flow netted +2,497 BTC, favoring 2021-07-27 BULL 5.95% Bitcoin closed at $39,458 on July 27, 2021 after surged 6.0%. Aggressor-side flow netted +1,877 BTC, favoring buyers. 2021-07-21 BEAR 7.90% On Wednesday, July 21, 2021, Bitcoin ripped +7.9% to the upside to $32,145. Net flow: +2,373 BTC — buyers had the edge. 2021-06-27 BEAR 7.49% June 27, 2021: Bitcoin surged +7.5%. The 932 BTC of net buying flow at $34,700 told a clear story — buyers were in charg 2021-06-25 BEAR -8.88% Bitcoin dropped 8.9% in a sharp selloff on Friday, June 25, 2021, closing at $31,584 as sellers controlled aggregate flo 2021-06-21 BEAR -11.21% On Monday, June 21, 2021, Bitcoin plunged -11.2% to $31,609. Net flow: -6,184 BTC — sellers had the edge. 2021-06-18 CHOP -5.97% Bitcoin closed at $35,820 on June 18, 2021 after crashed 6.0%. Aggressor-side flow netted -5,579 BTC, favoring sellers. 2021-06-13 BEAR 9.77% On Sunday, June 13, 2021, Bitcoin ripped +9.8% to the upside to $39,021. Net flow: +4,430 BTC — buyers had the edge. 2021-06-09 BEAR 12.00% Bitcoin closed at $37,388 on June 09, 2021 after surged 12.0%. Aggressor-side flow netted +973 BTC, favoring buyers. 2021-05-24 BEAR 11.86% Bitcoin closed at $38,796 on May 24, 2021 after surged 11.9%. Aggressor-side flow netted +1,539 BTC, favoring buyers. 2021-05-21 BEAR -8.08% On Friday, May 21, 2021, Bitcoin plunged -8.1% to $37,252. Net flow: -14,096 BTC — sellers had the edge. 2021-05-20 BEAR 10.51% Bitcoin exploded +10.5% higher on Thursday, May 20, 2021, closing at $40,527 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 2 2021-05-19 BEAR -14.38% May 19, 2021: Bitcoin plunged -14.4%. The 17,805 BTC of net selling flow at $36,690 told a clear story — sellers were in 2021-05-12 BEAR -12.42% Bitcoin crashed -12.4% on Wednesday, May 12, 2021, closing at $49,631 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 3,243 BT 2021-05-05 BEAR 7.95% Bitcoin ripped +8.0% to the upside on Wednesday, May 05, 2021, closing at $57,436 as buyers controlled aggregate flow wi 2021-04-30 BEAR 7.73% April 30, 2021: Bitcoin ripped +7.7% to the upside. The 2,689 BTC of net buying flow at $57,694 told a clear story — buy 2021-04-26 BEAR 10.06% Bitcoin exploded +10.1% higher on Monday, April 26, 2021, closing at $54,001 as buyers controlled aggregate flow with 57 2021-04-21 CHOP -4.67% Bitcoin sold off -4.7% on Wednesday, April 21, 2021, closing at $53,788 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 2,607 2021-04-18 CHOP -6.43% April 18, 2021: Bitcoin crashed -6.4%. The 6,073 BTC of net selling flow at $56,150 told a clear story — sellers were in 2021-04-13 BULL 6.21% On Tuesday, April 13, 2021, Bitcoin ripped +6.2% to the upside to $63,575. Net flow: +476 BTC — buyers had the edge. 2021-03-26 CHOP 7.28% March 26, 2021: Bitcoin exploded +7.3% higher. The 169 BTC of net selling flow at $55,026 told a clear story — sellers w 2021-03-22 CHOP -5.70% On Monday, March 22, 2021, Bitcoin dropped 5.7% in a sharp selloff to $54,083. Net flow: -1,084 BTC — sellers had the ed 2021-03-15 CHOP -5.72% Bitcoin plunged -5.7% on Monday, March 15, 2021, closing at $55,605 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 3,121 BTC 2021-03-13 CHOP 6.93% On Saturday, March 13, 2021, Bitcoin ripped +6.9% to the upside to $61,188. Net flow: +5,529 BTC — buyers had the edge. 2021-03-09 CHOP 4.79% Bitcoin climbed +4.8% on Tuesday, March 09, 2021, closing at $54,884 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 1,634 BTC