BTC Flow Analysis — March 12, 2026 CHOP
Thursday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,003,880 trades
Summary
On Thursday, March 12, 2026, Bitcoin slipped 0.57% to $69,791. Net flow: -176 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 22 bars of outsized trades (7.8σ peak) from 00:14–07:55 UTC, adding 205 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.87 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out Asia and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 100% of the net flow (176 BTC selling).
Morning and afternoon traded like two different markets. Sellers led early (-239 BTC), buyers dominated late (+63 BTC).
Across sessions: Asia -0.57%, Europe +0.00%, US +0.00% — with Asia doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.57% | -176 BTC | 100% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.00% | 0 BTC | 0% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.00% | 0 BTC | 0% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a chop regime. The -0.57% return tracked the regime average of +0.10%.
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