BTC Flow Analysis — March 03, 2026 BEAR
Tuesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 7,648,119 trades
Summary
March 03, 2026: Bitcoin gave back 0.71%. The 309 BTC of net selling flow at $68,338 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 30 bars of outsized trades (14.3σ peak) from 00:36–23:59 UTC, adding 509 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.89). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
A tale of two halves — sellers pushed 637 BTC through the morning, then buyers flipped the script with 328 BTC in the afternoon.
Breaking it down by session: Asia -0.95%, Europe -1.82%, US +2.10%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.95% | -492 BTC | 40% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -1.82% | -279 BTC | 23% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 2.10% | 462 BTC | 37% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The bear regime was running out of road — 0 day(s) before the market shifted to chop. The transition was already underway in hindsight.
The selling streak extended to 3 days. Streaks this long suggest a structural flow, not just intraday traders flipping positions.
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