BTC Flow Analysis — February 28, 2026 BEAR
Saturday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 5,268,514 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $66,973 on February 28, 2026 after ground out a 1.67% gain. Aggressor-side flow netted +513 BTC, favoring buyers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 27 bars of outsized trades (11.5σ peak) from 01:18–13:47 UTC, adding 280 BTC of buying pressure on top of the broader buying flow.
The day split in half. Sellers controlled the first 12 hours (-447 BTC), then buyers took over (+961 BTC). The reversal changed the character of the day.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.91 correlation between cumulative flow and price means buying pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
The Asia session posted the largest move. Full breakdown: Asia -3.11%, Europe +2.01%, US +2.87%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -3.11% | -735 BTC | 37% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 2.01% | 757 BTC | 38% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 2.87% | 491 BTC | 25% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
In retrospect, the bear regime was ending. CHOP conditions were 3 day(s) away.
Related Days
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