BTC Flow Analysis — February 15, 2026 BEAR
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 4,598,633 trades
Summary
Bitcoin slipped 1.42% on Sunday, February 15, 2026, closing at $68,833 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 4,567 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 33 bars of outsized trades (13.7σ peak) from 00:18–22:59 UTC, adding 3,387 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.80 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
US traders set the tone. 71% of directional flow — 3,229 BTC of selling — came from that single session.
Session returns: Asia +1.44%, Europe -2.68%, US -0.14%. Europe led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 1.44% | -262 BTC | 6% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -2.68% | -1076 BTC | 24% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.14% | -3229 BTC | 71% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
With -4,567 BTC of net flow (-1.7σ), selling pressure ran above the bear-regime baseline of -1,189 BTC.
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