BTC Flow Analysis — January 31, 2026 BEAR
Saturday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 7,384,976 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $78,741 on January 31, 2026 after crashed 6.6%. Aggressor-side flow netted -3,573 BTC, favoring sellers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 24 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 12.9σ), spread across 01:26–23:15 UTC. The 1,354 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
From $75,720 to $84,270 — a 10.1% range that forced both bulls and bears to respect the volatility.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.98). Aggressor-side selling translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
The US session drove 88% of the day's directional flow, with 3,153 BTC of net selling. The other two sessions were comparatively quiet.
The US session posted the largest move. Full breakdown: Asia -0.85%, Europe -0.93%, US -4.87%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.85% | -144 BTC | 4% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.93% | -276 BTC | 8% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -4.87% | -3153 BTC | 88% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This was near the start of a bear regime (day 1), with the chop regime barely in the rearview mirror.
The selling streak extended to 4 days. Streaks this long suggest a structural flow, not just intraday traders flipping positions.
Related Days
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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