BTC Flow Analysis — January 29, 2026 CHOP
Thursday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 5,598,749 trades
Summary
January 29, 2026: Bitcoin plunged -5.2%. The 5,660 BTC of net selling flow at $84,650 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 33 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 17.4σ), spread across 00:18–23:41 UTC. The 709 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Most of the action happened during US hours, which accounted for 89% of the day's net flow (5,058 BTC selling). The rest of the day was a footnote.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.98 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Breaking it down by session: Asia -1.06%, Europe -0.34%, US -3.86%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -1.06% | -331 BTC | 6% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.34% | -272 BTC | 5% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -3.86% | -5058 BTC | 89% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Net selling hit 5,660 BTC, landing -3.7σ outside the chop-regime norm. Days with this level of one-sided flow have historically marked inflection points within the regime.
At -2.3σ from the regime mean, this -5.21% move was an outlier within the chop period (avg +0.10%).
Day 2 of a fresh chop regime. The market had just flipped from bull, and the new character was still establishing itself.
Related Days
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
Explore this day's minute-level flow data interactively on the dashboard.
Open Dashboard