BTC Flow Analysis — December 28, 2025 CHOP
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,241,426 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $87,953 on December 28, 2025 after finished near unchanged (0.09%). Aggressor-side flow netted +15 BTC, favoring buyers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
23 bars of outsized trades (peak 8.4σ) appeared between 00:36–22:26 UTC, with whale flow netting 45 BTC of selling.
The day split in half. Sellers controlled the first 12 hours (-11 BTC), then buyers took over (+27 BTC). The reversal changed the character of the day.
An unusually tight range: 0.74% from high to low. Compression days like this tend to resolve with a larger move in the days that follow.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns were muted across the board: Asia -0.17%, Europe +0.19%, US +0.06%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.17% | -43 BTC | 42% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.19% | 1 BTC | 1% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.06% | 57 BTC | 56% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a chop regime. The +0.09% return tracked the regime average of +0.10%.
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