BTC Flow Analysis — December 26, 2025 CHOP
Friday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 4,509,482 trades
Summary
On Friday, December 26, 2025, Bitcoin finished near unchanged (+0.17%) to $87,370. Net flow: -651 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Large-player activity detected: 41 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 9.3σ) between 00:21–23:36 UTC. Whale flow netted 113 BTC of buying.
This was day 7 of consecutive net selling. Multi-day streaks reflect sustained conviction, not noise.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.89). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Morning and afternoon traded like two different markets. Buyers led early (+605 BTC), sellers dominated late (-1,256 BTC).
Across sessions: Asia +1.43%, Europe +0.59%, US -1.82% — with US doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 1.43% | 722 BTC | 34% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.59% | -191 BTC | 9% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -1.82% | -1182 BTC | 56% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a chop regime. The +0.17% return tracked the regime average of +0.10%.
Related Days
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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