BTC Flow Analysis — December 04, 2025 CHOP
Thursday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 5,856,049 trades
Summary
December 04, 2025: Bitcoin slipped 1.45%. The 3,179 BTC of net selling flow at $92,078 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 22 bars of outsized trades (15.5σ peak) from 01:22–19:12 UTC, adding 567 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.82 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Breaking it down by session: Asia -0.03%, Europe -0.94%, US -0.47%. Europe stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.03% | -1766 BTC | 56% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.94% | -349 BTC | 11% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.47% | -1064 BTC | 33% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Among the heaviest selling days in this chop regime. Net flow of -3,179 BTC placed this day at -2.1σ from the regime mean.
Day 1 of a fresh chop regime. The market had just flipped from bear, and the new character was still establishing itself.
Related Days
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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