BTC Flow Analysis — November 12, 2025 BEAR
Wednesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 5,314,132 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $101,654 on November 12, 2025 after gave back 1.36%. Aggressor-side flow netted -146 BTC, favoring sellers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 24 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 11.8σ), spread across 00:54–22:27 UTC. The 197 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
The day split in half. Buyers controlled the first 12 hours (+266 BTC), then sellers took over (-412 BTC). The reversal changed the character of the day.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.85). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
The US session posted the largest move. Full breakdown: Asia +0.05%, Europe +1.87%, US -3.22%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.05% | 159 BTC | 19% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 1.87% | 186 BTC | 22% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -3.22% | -492 BTC | 59% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Market conditions were bear — and this day didn't deviate. A -1.36% return against a regime average of -0.27%.
Related Days
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