BTC Flow Analysis — November 11, 2025 BEAR
Tuesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 5,532,149 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $103,059 on November 11, 2025 after lost 2.8%. Aggressor-side flow netted -2,762 BTC, favoring sellers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 58 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 10.0σ), spread across 00:24–22:47 UTC. The 1,699 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.92). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
The Europe session drove 87% of the day's directional flow, with 2,395 BTC of net selling. The other two sessions were comparatively quiet.
The US session posted the largest move. Full breakdown: Asia -1.16%, Europe -0.38%, US -1.28%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -1.16% | -200 BTC | 7% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.38% | -2395 BTC | 87% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -1.28% | -167 BTC | 6% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Market conditions were bear — and this day didn't deviate. A -2.78% return against a regime average of -0.27%.
Related Days
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