BTC Flow Analysis — November 01, 2025 CHOP
Saturday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,994,214 trades
Summary
On Saturday, November 01, 2025, Bitcoin ticked up +0.45% to $110,098. Net flow: -565 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Despite persistent sell-side aggression (flow-price correlation -0.32), price rose +0.45%. This divergence typically signals strong passive demand — buyers who don't need to cross the spread.
The big players were active all day. 32 bars of outsized trades (11.3σ peak) from 01:58–22:47 UTC, adding 161 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out Europe and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 64% of the net flow (363 BTC selling).
Session returns were muted across the board: Asia +0.42%, Europe -0.11%, US +0.14%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.42% | -17 BTC | 3% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.11% | -363 BTC | 64% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.14% | -185 BTC | 33% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The chop regime was running out of road — 1 day(s) before the market shifted to bear. The transition was already underway in hindsight.
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