BTC Flow Analysis — October 04, 2025 BULL
Saturday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,703,590 trades
Summary
On Saturday, October 04, 2025, Bitcoin traded flat to $122,391. Net flow: -673 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 39 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 12.8σ), spread across 00:13–23:51 UTC. The 20 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
This was day 3 of consecutive net selling. Multi-day streaks reflect sustained conviction, not noise.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out US and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 71% of the net flow (482 BTC selling).
No single session dominated price action: Asia +0.08%, Europe +0.05%, US +0.00%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.08% | -192 BTC | 28% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.05% | 2 BTC | 0% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.00% | -482 BTC | 71% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The market was 1 day(s) into a new bull regime, having transitioned from chop. Early-regime days often carry residual momentum from the prior period.
Related Days
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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