BTC Flow Analysis — October 01, 2025 CHOP
Wednesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 3,430,343 trades
Summary
On Wednesday, October 01, 2025, Bitcoin climbed +4.0% to $118,595. Net flow: +106 BTC — buyers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player buying throughout the day. 17 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 24.1σ), spread across 00:55–22:07 UTC. The 68 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's buying bias.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Morning and afternoon traded like two different markets. Buyers led early (+240 BTC), sellers dominated late (-135 BTC).
Across sessions: Asia +0.43%, Europe +1.98%, US +1.53% — with Europe doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.43% | -481 BTC | 45% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 1.98% | 560 BTC | 52% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 1.53% | 26 BTC | 2% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The chop regime was running out of road — 2 day(s) before the market shifted to bull. The transition was already underway in hindsight.
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