BTC Flow Analysis — September 22, 2025 CHOP
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 3,045,876 trades
Summary
Bitcoin fell 2.2% on Monday, September 22, 2025, closing at $112,651 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 2,157 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 34 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 14.1σ), spread across 00:29–22:09 UTC. The 106 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Net selling for 7 straight days. Whether it's institutional positioning or sentiment-driven, the directional bias was persistent.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.81 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns: Asia -2.35%, Europe +0.54%, US -0.42%. Asia led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -2.35% | -1012 BTC | 47% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.54% | -196 BTC | 9% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.42% | -949 BTC | 44% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a chop regime. The -2.24% return tracked the regime average of +0.10%.
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