BTC Flow Analysis — August 26, 2025 CHOP
Tuesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 4,077,474 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $111,763 on August 26, 2025 after ticked up 1.50%. Aggressor-side flow netted +1,274 BTC, favoring buyers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player buying throughout the day. 52 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 13.8σ), spread across 00:25–23:47 UTC. The 35 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's buying bias.
The day split in half. Sellers controlled the first 12 hours (-160 BTC), then buyers took over (+1,434 BTC). The reversal changed the character of the day.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.91). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
The US session drove 91% of the day's directional flow, with 1,248 BTC of net buying. The other two sessions were comparatively quiet.
The US session posted the largest move. Full breakdown: Asia +0.17%, Europe -0.19%, US +1.52%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.17% | -48 BTC | 4% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.19% | 75 BTC | 5% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 1.52% | 1248 BTC | 91% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Market conditions were chop — and this day didn't deviate. A +1.50% return against a regime average of +0.10%.
Related Days
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