BTC Flow Analysis — August 25, 2025 CHOP
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 4,695,718 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $110,112 on August 25, 2025 after sold off 3.0%. Aggressor-side flow netted -2,408 BTC, favoring sellers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 28 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 25.7σ), spread across 00:30–23:20 UTC. The 294 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Net selling for 3 straight days. Whether it's institutional positioning or sentiment-driven, the directional bias was persistent.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.85). Aggressor-side selling translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
The US session drove 79% of the day's directional flow, with 1,891 BTC of net selling. The other two sessions were comparatively quiet.
The Asia session posted the largest move. Full breakdown: Asia -1.75%, Europe -0.02%, US -1.24%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -1.75% | -344 BTC | 14% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.02% | -173 BTC | 7% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -1.24% | -1891 BTC | 79% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Net flow of -2,408 BTC was elevated at -1.6σ vs the chop-regime average of -670 BTC.
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