BTC Flow Analysis — August 24, 2025 CHOP
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 2,573,906 trades
Summary
August 24, 2025: Bitcoin slipped 1.68%. The 2,526 BTC of net selling flow at $113,494 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 25 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 9.9σ), spread across 00:13–16:52 UTC. The 190 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Most of the action happened during US hours, which accounted for 61% of the day's net flow (1,549 BTC selling). The rest of the day was a footnote.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.92 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Breaking it down by session: Asia -0.48%, Europe -0.29%, US -0.93%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.48% | -522 BTC | 21% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.29% | -455 BTC | 18% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.93% | -1549 BTC | 61% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
With -2,526 BTC of net flow (-1.7σ), selling pressure ran above the chop-regime baseline of -670 BTC.
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