BTC Flow Analysis — August 20, 2025 CHOP
Wednesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 2,998,370 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $114,271 on August 20, 2025 after ticked up 1.24%. Aggressor-side flow netted -1,217 BTC, favoring sellers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Aggressor-side sellers pushed flow negative throughout the day (flow-price correlation: -0.51), yet price finished up +1.24%. Passive buyers on the bid absorbed the selling without showing up in aggressor-side data.
The big players were active all day. 31 bars of outsized trades (8.1σ peak) from 00:49–23:59 UTC, adding 341 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
Net selling for 7 straight days. Whether it's institutional positioning or sentiment-driven, the directional bias was persistent.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
The US session posted the largest move. Full breakdown: Asia +0.55%, Europe -0.70%, US +1.40%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.55% | -789 BTC | 50% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.70% | -615 BTC | 39% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 1.40% | 187 BTC | 12% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a chop regime. The +1.24% return tracked the regime average of +0.10%.
Related Days
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