BTC Flow Analysis — August 17, 2025 CHOP
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,177,563 trades
Summary
August 17, 2025: Bitcoin went nowhere. The 289 BTC of net selling flow at $117,405 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 30 bars of outsized trades (8.6σ peak) from 00:10–23:56 UTC, adding 123 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
Most of the action happened during US hours, which accounted for 87% of the day's net flow (339 BTC selling). The rest of the day was a footnote.
Day 4 of unbroken net selling. The market had a directional lean and wasn't letting go.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
A tale of two halves — buyers pushed 125 BTC through the morning, then sellers flipped the script with 414 BTC in the afternoon.
Breaking it down by session: Asia +0.53%, Europe +0.36%, US -0.87%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.53% | 33 BTC | 8% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.36% | 18 BTC | 5% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.87% | -339 BTC | 87% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a chop regime. The +0.02% return tracked the regime average of +0.10%.
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