BTC Flow Analysis — July 26, 2025 BULL
Saturday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 790,372 trades
Summary
On Saturday, July 26, 2025, Bitcoin went nowhere to $117,920. Net flow: -656 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 42 bars of outsized trades (17.4σ peak) from 00:12–20:03 UTC, adding 255 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
A disconnect between flow and price (correlation: -0.58). Neither buyers nor sellers could convert aggressor-side pressure into directional movement.
Net selling for 4 straight days. Whether it's institutional positioning or sentiment-driven, the directional bias was persistent.
An unusually tight range: 0.99% from high to low. Compression days like this tend to resolve with a larger move in the days that follow.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out Asia and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 60% of the net flow (602 BTC selling).
Across sessions: Asia -0.26%, Europe +0.70%, US -0.17% — with Europe doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.26% | -602 BTC | 60% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.70% | 172 BTC | 17% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.17% | -225 BTC | 23% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The bull regime was running out of road — 2 day(s) before the market shifted to chop. The transition was already underway in hindsight.
Related Days
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
Explore this day's minute-level flow data interactively on the dashboard.
Open Dashboard