BTC Flow Analysis — July 15, 2025 BULL
Tuesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 3,805,374 trades
Summary
Bitcoin slipped 1.74% on Tuesday, July 15, 2025, closing at $117,758 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 684 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 36 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 8.7σ), spread across 00:57–20:15 UTC. The 430 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Flow reversed midday. The first 12 hours belonged to sellers (-898 BTC), but buyers erased that and then some (+215 BTC) in the back half.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.91 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Asia traders set the tone. 60% of directional flow — 1,070 BTC of selling — came from that single session.
Session returns: Asia -2.56%, Europe +1.12%, US -0.28%. Asia led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -2.56% | -1070 BTC | 60% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 1.12% | 548 BTC | 31% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.28% | -162 BTC | 9% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a bull regime. The -1.74% return tracked the regime average of +0.34%.
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