BTC Flow Analysis — June 20, 2025 CHOP
Friday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 3,029,404 trades
Summary
June 20, 2025: Bitcoin slipped 1.30%. The 2,191 BTC of net selling flow at $103,298 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 30 bars of outsized trades (7.6σ peak) from 01:17–21:09 UTC, adding 338 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
Most of the action happened during US hours, which accounted for 93% of the day's net flow (2,034 BTC selling). The rest of the day was a footnote.
This was day 11 of consecutive net selling. Multi-day streaks reflect sustained conviction, not noise.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.85 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Breaking it down by session: Asia +1.10%, Europe -0.13%, US -2.25%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 1.10% | -122 BTC | 6% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.13% | -35 BTC | 2% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -2.25% | -2034 BTC | 93% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a chop regime. The -1.30% return tracked the regime average of +0.10%.
Related Days
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