BTC Flow Analysis — June 16, 2025 CHOP
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 2,928,998 trades
Summary
On Monday, June 16, 2025, Bitcoin ground out a +1.14% gain to $106,795. Net flow: -38 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 33 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 12.2σ), spread across 01:58–21:33 UTC. The 276 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.85 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Morning and afternoon traded like two different markets. Buyers led early (+13 BTC), sellers dominated late (-51 BTC).
Across sessions: Asia +1.39%, Europe +0.09%, US -0.34% — with Asia doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 1.39% | 86 BTC | 41% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.09% | -36 BTC | 17% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.34% | -88 BTC | 42% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Day 1 of a fresh chop regime. The market had just flipped from bull, and the new character was still establishing itself.
The selling streak extended to 7 days. Streaks this long suggest a structural flow, not just intraday traders flipping positions.
Related Days
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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