BTC Flow Analysis — May 29, 2025 BULL
Thursday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 3,774,926 trades
Summary
Bitcoin lost 2.0% on Thursday, May 29, 2025, closing at $105,590 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 920 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 24 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 12.8σ), spread across 00:10–16:42 UTC. The 248 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Net selling for 5 straight days. Whether it's institutional positioning or sentiment-driven, the directional bias was persistent.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.85). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns: Asia +0.09%, Europe -0.26%, US -1.87%. US led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.09% | -254 BTC | 28% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.26% | -201 BTC | 22% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -1.87% | -465 BTC | 51% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The bull regime was running out of road — 1 day(s) before the market shifted to chop. The transition was already underway in hindsight.
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