BTC Flow Analysis — May 12, 2025 BULL
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 5,298,407 trades
Summary
On Monday, May 12, 2025, Bitcoin drifted lower (-1.27%) to $102,791. Net flow: +1,639 BTC — buyers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The -0.41 flow-price correlation reveals a mismatch — buyers crossed the spread aggressively, but price still fell -1.27%. Passive supply overwhelmed active demand.
Sustained large-player buying throughout the day. 31 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 10.2σ), spread across 00:14–23:41 UTC. The 224 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's buying bias.
This was day 5 of consecutive net buying. Multi-day streaks reflect sustained conviction, not noise.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out Asia and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 68% of the net flow (1,219 BTC buying).
Across sessions: Asia +0.34%, Europe -0.14%, US -1.47% — with US doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.34% | 1219 BTC | 68% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.14% | 497 BTC | 28% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -1.47% | -77 BTC | 4% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Nothing unusual for a bull-regime day. The -1.27% return was consistent with the period's average of +0.34%.
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