BTC Flow Analysis — April 08, 2025 CHOP
Tuesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 5,512,751 trades
Summary
April 08, 2025: Bitcoin fell 3.6%. The 3,908 BTC of net selling flow at $76,322 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 18 bars of outsized trades (11.8σ peak) from 01:24–18:54 UTC, adding 90 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
Most of the action happened during US hours, which accounted for 72% of the day's net flow (2,816 BTC selling). The rest of the day was a footnote.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.95 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Breaking it down by session: Asia +0.42%, Europe +0.51%, US -4.48%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.42% | -443 BTC | 11% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.51% | -649 BTC | 17% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -4.48% | -2816 BTC | 72% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The 3,908 BTC of net selling was extreme by any measure (-2.6σ vs chop-regime average). The market's typical flow balance broke down.
The selling streak extended to 5 days. Streaks this long suggest a structural flow, not just intraday traders flipping positions.
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