BTC Flow Analysis — March 31, 2025 BEAR
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 3,964,358 trades
Summary
March 31, 2025: Bitcoin finished near unchanged (+0.19%). The 743 BTC of net selling flow at $82,550 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Large players were on the wrong side — or the patient side. 29 bars of outsized trade sizes (peak 7.1σ) showed net buying, but price moved against them. Either they were accumulating into weakness or got caught.
A disconnect between flow and price (correlation: -0.48). Neither buyers nor sellers could convert aggressor-side pressure into directional movement.
Day 8 of unbroken net selling. The market had a directional lean and wasn't letting go.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
A tale of two halves — sellers pushed 1,430 BTC through the morning, then buyers flipped the script with 687 BTC in the afternoon.
Breaking it down by session: Asia -0.55%, Europe +0.70%, US +0.05%. Europe stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.55% | -711 BTC | 42% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.70% | -505 BTC | 30% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.05% | 472 BTC | 28% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Among the final days of this bear period. Within 2 day(s), the market would flip to chop.
Related Days
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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