BTC Flow Analysis — March 25, 2025 BEAR
Tuesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 2,802,815 trades
Summary
On Tuesday, March 25, 2025, Bitcoin finished near unchanged (-0.12%) to $87,393. Net flow: -3,762 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 16 bars of outsized trades (12.3σ peak) from 00:26–22:13 UTC, adding 83 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
A disconnect between flow and price (correlation: -0.58). Neither buyers nor sellers could convert aggressor-side pressure into directional movement.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out US and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 65% of the net flow (2,445 BTC selling).
Across sessions: Asia -1.21%, Europe +1.34%, US -0.23% — with Europe doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -1.21% | -958 BTC | 25% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 1.34% | -359 BTC | 10% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.23% | -2445 BTC | 65% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a bear regime. The -0.12% return tracked the regime average of -0.27%.
Related Days
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