BTC Flow Analysis — March 22, 2025 BEAR
Saturday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 864,481 trades
Summary
On Saturday, March 22, 2025, Bitcoin went nowhere to $83,841. Net flow: -852 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 21 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 13.9σ), spread across 00:15–23:03 UTC. The 15 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Net selling for 8 straight days. Whether it's institutional positioning or sentiment-driven, the directional bias was persistent.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
All three sessions posted small moves: Asia +0.22%, Europe -0.13%, US -0.39% — a balanced day with no clear regional driver.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.22% | -256 BTC | 30% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.13% | -210 BTC | 25% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.39% | -386 BTC | 45% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This was near the start of a bear regime (day 3), with the chop regime barely in the rearview mirror.
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