BTC Flow Analysis — March 20, 2025 BEAR
Thursday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 3,252,595 trades
Summary
Bitcoin lost 3.0% on Thursday, March 20, 2025, closing at $84,223 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 1,763 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 34 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 10.6σ), spread across 02:26–23:05 UTC. The 62 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.95). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns: Asia -1.19%, Europe -0.35%, US -1.51%. US led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -1.19% | -685 BTC | 39% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.35% | -204 BTC | 12% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -1.51% | -873 BTC | 50% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The market was 1 day(s) into a new bear regime, having transitioned from chop. Early-regime days often carry residual momentum from the prior period.
The selling streak extended to 6 days. Streaks this long suggest a structural flow, not just intraday traders flipping positions.
Related Days
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