BTC Flow Analysis — March 14, 2025 BEAR
Friday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 3,290,987 trades
Summary
Bitcoin pushed +3.5% higher on Friday, March 14, 2025, closing at $83,983 as buyers controlled aggregate flow with 1,307 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player buying throughout the day. 34 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 10.5σ), spread across 00:12–22:53 UTC. The 517 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's buying bias.
Flow reversed midday. The first 12 hours belonged to sellers (-23 BTC), but buyers erased that and then some (+1,331 BTC) in the back half.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.86). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns: Asia +1.30%, Europe +1.74%, US +0.46%. Europe led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 1.30% | -385 BTC | 19% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 1.74% | 649 BTC | 31% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.46% | 1043 BTC | 50% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Market conditions were bear — and this day didn't deviate. A +3.53% return against a regime average of -0.27%.
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