Thursday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 4,367,093 trades
Bitcoin closed at $81,116 on March 13, 2025 after sold off 3.1%. Aggressor-side flow netted -1,520 BTC, favoring sellers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
The big players were active all day. 23 bars of outsized trades (6.1σ peak) from 01:16–23:01 UTC, adding 69 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
Net selling for 7 straight days. Whether it's institutional positioning or sentiment-driven, the directional bias was persistent.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.98). Aggressor-side selling translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
The Europe session posted the largest move. Full breakdown: Asia -0.63%, Europe -1.65%, US -0.81%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.63% | -448 BTC | 30% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -1.65% | -709 BTC | 47% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.81% | -362 BTC | 24% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Market conditions were bear — and this day didn't deviate. A -3.06% return against a regime average of -0.27%.
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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