BTC Flow Analysis — February 26, 2025 BEAR
Wednesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 8,490,006 trades
Summary
Bitcoin sold off -5.0% on Wednesday, February 26, 2025, closing at $84,250 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 739 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 26 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 6.5σ), spread across 00:43–23:44 UTC. The 41 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Day 27 of unbroken net selling. The market had a directional lean and wasn't letting go.
The 8.1% intraday range ($82,256 – $89,414) tells the story of a market in flux. Both sides had their moments.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.88). Aggressor-side selling translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns: Asia +0.04%, Europe -1.72%, US -3.37%. US led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.04% | -420 BTC | 57% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -1.72% | -14 BTC | 2% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -3.37% | -305 BTC | 41% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The market was 3 day(s) into a new bear regime, having transitioned from chop. Early-regime days often carry residual momentum from the prior period.
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