BTC Flow Analysis — February 21, 2025 CHOP
Friday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 4,528,525 trades
Summary
Bitcoin sold off -2.2% on Friday, February 21, 2025, closing at $96,182 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 1,622 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
27 bars of outsized trades (peak 6.7σ) appeared between 00:30–12:08 UTC, with whale flow netting 102 BTC of buying.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.95). Aggressor-side selling translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns: Asia -0.13%, Europe +1.18%, US -3.17%. US led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.13% | -575 BTC | 19% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 1.18% | 697 BTC | 23% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -3.17% | -1744 BTC | 58% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
In retrospect, the chop regime was ending. BEAR conditions were 2 day(s) away.
The selling streak extended to 22 days. Streaks this long suggest a structural flow, not just intraday traders flipping positions.
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