BTC Flow Analysis — February 04, 2025 CHOP
Tuesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 6,618,911 trades
Summary
February 04, 2025: Bitcoin sold off -3.5%. The 2,085 BTC of net selling flow at $97,763 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 15 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 9.4σ), spread across 00:28–17:22 UTC. The 235 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
This was day 5 of consecutive net selling. Multi-day streaks reflect sustained conviction, not noise.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.89). Aggressor-side selling translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Breaking it down by session: Asia -2.84%, Europe +0.57%, US -1.26%. Asia stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -2.84% | -1228 BTC | 39% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.57% | 517 BTC | 17% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -1.26% | -1374 BTC | 44% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The market was 1 day(s) into a new chop regime, having transitioned from bull. Early-regime days often carry residual momentum from the prior period.
Related Days
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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