BTC Flow Analysis — February 02, 2025 BULL
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 7,202,339 trades
Summary
Bitcoin lost 2.9% on Sunday, February 02, 2025, closing at $97,701 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 3,445 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 35 bars of outsized trades (7.8σ peak) from 00:11–21:59 UTC, adding 904 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
Day 3 of unbroken net selling. The market had a directional lean and wasn't letting go.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.95). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns: Asia -0.99%, Europe -0.85%, US -1.11%. US led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.99% | -1193 BTC | 35% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.85% | -1057 BTC | 31% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -1.11% | -1195 BTC | 35% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The 3,445 BTC of net selling was extreme by any measure (-2.0σ vs bull-regime average). The market's typical flow balance broke down.
The bull regime was running out of road — 1 day(s) before the market shifted to chop. The transition was already underway in hindsight.
Related Days
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