BTC Flow Analysis — December 29, 2024 CHOP
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 2,865,838 trades
Summary
December 29, 2024: Bitcoin slipped 1.64%. The 2,273 BTC of net selling flow at $93,738 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 40 bars of outsized trades (12.7σ peak) from 00:29–21:13 UTC, adding 840 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
Most of the action happened during US hours, which accounted for 75% of the day's net flow (1,711 BTC selling). The rest of the day was a footnote.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.96 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Breaking it down by session: Asia -0.03%, Europe -0.36%, US -1.25%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.03% | -348 BTC | 15% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.36% | -215 BTC | 9% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -1.25% | -1711 BTC | 75% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Nothing unusual for a chop-regime day. The -1.64% return was consistent with the period's average of +0.10%.
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