BTC Flow Analysis — December 25, 2024 CHOP
Wednesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 3,283,028 trades
Summary
Bitcoin ticked up +0.78% on Wednesday, December 25, 2024, closing at $99,430 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 461 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 36 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 7.2σ), spread across 00:44–23:58 UTC. The 432 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Flow reversed midday. The first 12 hours belonged to sellers (-543 BTC), but buyers erased that and then some (+82 BTC) in the back half.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Asia traders set the tone. 76% of directional flow — 397 BTC of selling — came from that single session.
Session returns: Asia -0.59%, Europe +0.39%, US +0.98%. US led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.59% | -397 BTC | 76% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.39% | -96 BTC | 18% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.98% | 32 BTC | 6% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Market conditions were chop — and this day didn't deviate. A +0.78% return against a regime average of +0.10%.
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