BTC Flow Analysis — December 15, 2024 BULL
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 3,638,809 trades
Summary
December 15, 2024: Bitcoin rallied +3.0%. The 3,109 BTC of net buying flow at $104,464 told a clear story — buyers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player buying throughout the day. 23 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 6.3σ), spread across 00:17–23:48 UTC. The 764 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's buying bias.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.85). Aggressor-side buying translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Breaking it down by session: Asia +0.31%, Europe +1.03%, US +1.63%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.31% | 1351 BTC | 43% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 1.03% | 480 BTC | 15% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 1.63% | 1278 BTC | 41% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
In retrospect, the bull regime was ending. CHOP conditions were 3 day(s) away.
Net flow of +3,109 BTC was elevated at +1.8σ vs the bull-regime average of -386 BTC.
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