BTC Flow Analysis — October 12, 2024 CHOP
Saturday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,770,837 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $63,206 on October 12, 2024 after edged higher (1.07%). Aggressor-side flow netted -517 BTC, favoring sellers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Aggressor-side sellers pushed flow negative throughout the day (flow-price correlation: -0.49), yet price finished up +1.07%. Passive buyers on the bid absorbed the selling without showing up in aggressor-side data.
The big players were active all day. 17 bars of outsized trades (16.5σ peak) from 00:34–20:56 UTC, adding 387 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
All three sessions posted small moves: Asia +0.36%, Europe +0.49%, US +0.21% — a balanced day with no clear regional driver.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.36% | -347 BTC | 53% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.49% | 72 BTC | 11% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.21% | -242 BTC | 37% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This was near the start of a chop regime (day 2), with the bull regime barely in the rearview mirror.
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