BTC Flow Analysis — October 01, 2024 BULL
Tuesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 5,607,069 trades
Summary
October 01, 2024: Bitcoin sold off -4.0%. The 1,768 BTC of net selling flow at $60,806 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Large-player activity detected: 31 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 12.5σ) between 00:53–22:53 UTC. Whale flow netted 295 BTC of buying.
Most of the action happened during US hours, which accounted for 75% of the day's net flow (2,609 BTC selling). The rest of the day was a footnote.
Day 4 of unbroken net selling. The market had a directional lean and wasn't letting go.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.85). Aggressor-side selling translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
A tale of two halves — buyers pushed 1,353 BTC through the morning, then sellers flipped the script with 3,121 BTC in the afternoon.
Breaking it down by session: Asia +1.13%, Europe -1.84%, US -3.28%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 1.13% | 856 BTC | 25% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -1.84% | -16 BTC | 0% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -3.28% | -2609 BTC | 75% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Nothing unusual for a bull-regime day. The -3.98% return was consistent with the period's average of +0.34%.
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