BTC Flow Analysis — August 25, 2024 BEAR
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,263,065 trades
Summary
Bitcoin traded flat on Sunday, August 25, 2024, closing at $64,220 as buyers controlled aggregate flow with 326 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 25 bars of outsized trades (9.6σ peak) from 01:31–21:42 UTC, adding 66 BTC of buying pressure on top of the broader buying flow.
Flow reversed midday. The first 12 hours belonged to sellers (-109 BTC), but buyers erased that and then some (+435 BTC) in the back half.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.85). Aggressor-side buying translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
US traders set the tone. 86% of directional flow — 389 BTC of buying — came from that single session.
No single session dominated price action: Asia -0.45%, Europe +0.33%, US +0.22%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.45% | -40 BTC | 9% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.33% | -23 BTC | 5% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.22% | 389 BTC | 86% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Market conditions were bear — and this day didn't deviate. A +0.10% return against a regime average of -0.27%.
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