BTC Flow Analysis — August 21, 2024 BEAR
Wednesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,981,525 trades
Summary
August 21, 2024: Bitcoin climbed +3.6%. The 330 BTC of net buying flow at $61,156 told a clear story — buyers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player buying throughout the day. 25 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 8.0σ), spread across 00:12–23:55 UTC. The 74 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's buying bias.
Most of the action happened during US hours, which accounted for 64% of the day's net flow (767 BTC buying). The rest of the day was a footnote.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
A tale of two halves — sellers pushed 394 BTC through the morning, then buyers flipped the script with 725 BTC in the afternoon.
Breaking it down by session: Asia +1.18%, Europe +0.36%, US +2.05%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 1.18% | -139 BTC | 12% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.36% | -297 BTC | 25% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 2.05% | 767 BTC | 64% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Nothing unusual for a bear-regime day. The +3.63% return was consistent with the period's average of -0.27%.
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