BTC Flow Analysis — August 04, 2024 BULL
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,886,195 trades
Summary
Bitcoin fell 4.2% on Sunday, August 04, 2024, closing at $58,161 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 2,503 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 20 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 6.5σ), spread across 00:14–21:14 UTC. The 271 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Day 9 of unbroken net selling. The market had a directional lean and wasn't letting go.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.94 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
US traders set the tone. 93% of directional flow — 2,340 BTC of selling — came from that single session.
Session returns: Asia -0.53%, Europe +0.74%, US -4.38%. US led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.53% | -56 BTC | 2% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.74% | -107 BTC | 4% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -4.38% | -2340 BTC | 93% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a bull regime. The -4.18% return tracked the regime average of +0.34%.
Related Days
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