Open
$60,209
Close
$57,050
Return
-5.25%
Net Flow
-4,603 BTC
Volume
54,569 BTC
Buy/Sell Ratio
0.84

Summary

On Thursday, July 04, 2024, Bitcoin crashed -5.2% to $57,050. Net flow: -4,603 BTC — sellers had the edge.

BTC price and volume for July 04, 2024

BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).

Flow Analysis

Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 11 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 5.7σ), spread across 01:58–22:55 UTC. The 214 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.

Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.81). Aggressor-side selling translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.

Cumulative flow vs return for July 04, 2024

Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.

Session Breakdown

Across sessions: Asia -3.30%, Europe -1.37%, US -0.64% — with Asia doing the heavy lifting.

Session Hours (UTC) Return Net Flow Flow Share
Asia 00:00 - 08:00 -3.30% -1714 BTC 37%
Europe 08:00 - 14:00 -1.37% -2039 BTC 44%
US 14:00 - 00:00 -0.64% -850 BTC 18%
Buy vs sell volume for July 04, 2024

Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.

Regime Context

Net flow of -4,603 BTC was elevated at -1.8σ vs the bear-regime average of -1,189 BTC.

Patterns: bear whale-activity

Related Days

Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.

Apr 25, 2021BEAR
-1.96%
whale-activity us-dominated regime-start flow-streak
Apr 26, 2021BEAR
+10.06%
whale-activity flow-reversal outlier-return regime-start high-volatility
Apr 27, 2021BEAR
+1.87%
whale-activity flow-divergence regime-start
Apr 30, 2021BEAR
+7.73%
whale-activity outlier-return high-volatility
May 03, 2021BEAR
+1.04%
whale-activity flow-reversal us-dominated flow-streak

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