BTC Flow Analysis — June 30, 2024 BEAR
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,108,912 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $62,772 on June 30, 2024 after pushed 2.9% higher. Aggressor-side flow netted -877 BTC, favoring sellers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Aggressor-side sellers pushed flow negative throughout the day (flow-price correlation: -0.67), yet price finished up +2.93%. Passive buyers on the bid absorbed the selling without showing up in aggressor-side data.
Whale-sized trades (25 bars above 3σ, peak 8.8σ) pushed 209 BTC of net buying between 00:26–22:35 UTC — while price went the other way. Possible accumulation, possible pain.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
The Europe session drove 87% of the day's directional flow, with 823 BTC of net selling. The other two sessions were comparatively quiet.
The US session posted the largest move. Full breakdown: Asia +0.89%, Europe +0.31%, US +1.71%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.89% | -89 BTC | 9% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.31% | -823 BTC | 87% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 1.71% | 34 BTC | 4% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a bear regime. The +2.93% return tracked the regime average of -0.27%.
Related Days
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