BTC Flow Analysis — June 25, 2024 BEAR
Tuesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,277,481 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $61,806 on June 25, 2024 after rallied 2.5%. Aggressor-side flow netted -469 BTC, favoring sellers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Aggressor-side sellers pushed flow negative throughout the day (flow-price correlation: -0.67), yet price finished up +2.51%. Passive buyers on the bid absorbed the selling without showing up in aggressor-side data.
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 22 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 9.8σ), spread across 00:13–23:54 UTC. The 117 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Day 3 of unbroken net selling. The market had a directional lean and wasn't letting go.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
The Europe session drove 76% of the day's directional flow, with 500 BTC of net selling. The other two sessions were comparatively quiet.
The US session posted the largest move. Full breakdown: Asia +0.65%, Europe +0.85%, US +0.99%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.65% | -63 BTC | 10% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.85% | -500 BTC | 76% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.99% | 95 BTC | 14% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This was near the start of a bear regime (day 2), with the chop regime barely in the rearview mirror.
Related Days
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