BTC Flow Analysis — April 14, 2024 BEAR
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 2,657,953 trades
Summary
On Sunday, April 14, 2024, Bitcoin pushed +2.7% higher to $65,662. Net flow: -2,135 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Despite persistent sell-side aggression (flow-price correlation -0.33), price rose +2.72%. This divergence typically signals strong passive demand — buyers who don't need to cross the spread.
A cluster of large trades between 05:13–23:51 UTC — 6 bars with trade sizes spiking to 5.0σ above normal. Net selling of 7 BTC, aligned with the day's direction.
Day 6 of unbroken net selling. The market had a directional lean and wasn't letting go.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Morning and afternoon traded like two different markets. Sellers led early (-2,381 BTC), buyers dominated late (+246 BTC).
Across sessions: Asia +0.84%, Europe -0.14%, US +2.00% — with US doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.84% | -1327 BTC | 44% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.14% | -1254 BTC | 41% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 2.00% | 447 BTC | 15% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The market was 2 day(s) into a new bear regime, having transitioned from chop. Early-regime days often carry residual momentum from the prior period.
Related Days
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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